Is Janet Yellen Smarter Than Me?

Yellen`s Talking Points   During Janet Yellen`s Senate Banking Committee testimony to paraphrase she said that she doesn`t see a bubble in stock prices based upon some of the metrics they utilize at the Fed, and she mentioned that the rise in… [...]

Dollar and Yen Weakness may Persist, Aussie Poised for Bounce

The British pound was the only major currency to have gained against the US dollar over the past month.  Its 2% gain helped it finish November at its highest level since August 2011. The dollar rose against the other majors, with its 4.1% rise aga… [...]

Citi "Skeptical Of The Sustainability Of This Uptrend"

As the S&P 500 continues to make higher highs, Citi's FX Technicals group attempts to identify important levels to watch. As they have highlighted before, while they respect the price action and the fact that the markets are making higher highs… [...]

"Is This The Right Time To Get Into Gold?"

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,245.25, EUR 915.29 and GBP 763.07 per ounce.Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,241.75, EUR 913.12 and GBP 760.46 per ounce. Yesterday the markets were closed in the U.S. for the Thanksgiving national holiday.The closing fix in L… [...]

Howard Marks: "Markets Are Riskier Than At Any Time Since The Depths Of The 2008/9 Crisis"

In Feb 2007, Oaktree Capital's Howard Marks wrote 'The Race to the Bottom', providing a timely warning about the capital market behavior that ultimately led to the mortgage meltdown of 2007 and the crisis of 2008 as he worried about "c… [...]

Goldman Reveals "Top Trade" Reco #3 For 2014, In Which Tom Stolper Goes Long The USDCAD

It’s one thing to fade broad Goldman trade recommendations (and thus trading alongside Goldman and against muppets). It is, however, a gift from god when such a trade comes from none other than the greatest (once again, if you bat 0.000 or 1.000 on Wal… [...]

Citi "Bullish" Gold And Silver

Yesterday’s daily reversal in gold and silver has prompted Citi’s FX Technicals group into a bullish position targeting $1,335 for gold in the short-term.   Via Citi FX Technicals, Silver marginally overshot the 76.4% retracement of the rally fro… [...]

Overnight Carry Continues To Push Risk To New Highs

There were two events of note in the overnight session: first was the return of the Japanese jawboning, because now that the Nikkei has upward momentum – nearly hitting 15600 in early trading only to close unchanged – and the Yen has downward momentum,… [...]

Just The Right Amount Of Bad Overnight News Offsets Latest Taper Tantrum

Following yesterday’s latest Taper Tantrum, it was critical to get a smattering of bad global overnight news to provide the ammunition for the algos that not all in the world is fine and the easy monetary policy will continue indefinitely pushing stock… [...]

S&P 1800 Or Bust As Futures Ramp Continues

The overnight global scramble to buy stocks, any stocks, anywhere, continued, with the Nikkei soaring higher by 2% as the USDJPY rose firmly over 100, to levels not seen since May as the previously reported speculation that more QE from the BOJ is just… [...]