Macro Considerations

The macro picture remains largely unchanged. Janet Yellen is expected to lead the Federal Reserve into a new phase by beginning to taper its long-term asset purchases early next year. The ECB is expect to move in the other direction, leaning against th… [...]

Guest Post: (Un)Paving Our Way To The Future

Submitted by James H. Kunstler via Peak Prosperity blog, You can’t overstate the baleful effects for Americans of living in the tortured landscapes and townscapes we created for ourselves in the past century. This fiasco of cartoon suburbia, overgro… [...]

Europe’s Peak Youth Unemployment Gets Peak-er

Despite a ratings ‘upgrade’ Spain’s youth unemployment rate has re-surged to a record 57.4% (just below that of Greece which still tops the scary chart list at 58%). Italy and Portugal also saw notable rises (despite the former’s record low short-dated… [...]

No Red Futures On Black Friday

A hungover America slowly wakes up from a day of society-mandated consumption and purchasing excess to engage in even more Fed-mandated excess in the equity markets. The only difference is that while the “90%” was engaged in the former and depleting th… [...]

There Is Just No Escape From Mario Draghi’s Monetary Zombie Nightmare

On November 7, when the ECB announced a “surprising” rate cut, 67 out of 70 economists who never saw it coming, were shocked. We were not. As we observed ten days prior, Europe had just seen the latest month of record low private sector loan growth in … [...]

The Global Leverage Cycle: You Are Here

While one can make an argument that the central banks have now destroyed all traditional “cycles”, including the economic “virtuous cycle”, the business cycle and even the leverage cycle, the question remains how much longer can the Fed et al defy mean… [...]

Berlus-Gone-i

As many expected (due to his tax fraud conviction): *ITALY SENATE REJECTS MOTIONS TO ALLOW BERLUSCONI TO KEEP SEAT *FORMER ITALIAN PREMIER BERLUSCONI OUSTED FROM SENATE Of course, Sylvio is not happy: *BERLUSCONI SAYS HIS OUSTING WON’T LEAD HIM TO R… [...]

So Much For A European Recovery: SocGen Predicts Europe’s Lost Decade Will Last Until 2018

Back around the turn of the century, when the common European currency was introduced, there was much hope and excitement about the future. It worked… for about 7 years. Unfortunately since 2007 things haven’t gone according to plan and now the conti… [...]

Consumer Confidence Misses (Again), Tumbles To Lowest In 7 Months

No matter what measure of confidence, sentiment, or animal spirits one uses, the consumer is not encouraged by the record-er and record-er highs in the US equity market. The Conference Board's consumer confidence data missed for the 2nd month in a … [...]

Key Events And Issues In The Holiday-Shortened Week

Looking ahead at the week ahead, data watchers will be kept fairly occupied before Thanksgiving. Starting with today, we will see US pending home sales with the Treasury also conducting the first of 3 bond auctions this week starting with a $32 billion… [...]