No Red Futures On Black Friday

A hungover America slowly wakes up from a day of society-mandated consumption and purchasing excess to engage in even more Fed-mandated excess in the equity markets. The only difference is that while the “90%” was engaged in the former and depleting th… [...]

Yen Carry Lifts Risk Around The Globe In Quiet Overnight Trade

In a carry-trade driven world in which news and fundamentals no longer matter, the only relevant “variable” is whether the JPY is down (check) and the EUR is up (check) which always results in green equities around the globe and green futures in the US… [...]

Guest Post: 3 Myth’s About Rising Interest Rates

Submitted by Lance Roberts of STA Wealth Management, During my morning reading, I ran across an article by Howard Gold entitled ”Why Diversification Isn’t Working?” by Howard Gold wherein he discusses that investors are faced with having to choos… [...]

Margin Debt Soars To New Record; Investor Net Worth Hits Record Low

The correlation between stock prices and margin debt continues to rise (to new records of exuberant "Fed's got our backs" hope) as NYSE member margin balances surge to new record highs. Relative to the NYSE Composite, this is the most &qu… [...]

Low Growth in the Developed World… Increasing Capital Flight to Asia!

By: Chris Tell at The first wave of modern globalization took place during 1870-1913, when both capital and labour moved freely across international borders. Things have changed a lot since then as ever increasing restrict… [...]

Will "Rising" Gas Prices Crush The Holiday Spending Spirit?

As we noted previously (here and here), the exuberance over ‘lower’ gas prices is a little overdone. Perhaps more worrying though, as Bloomberg’s Jo Brusuelas notes, wholesale gasoline futures are pointing to about a 5% rise in gasoline prices during t… [...]

Consumer Confidence Misses (Again), Tumbles To Lowest In 7 Months

No matter what measure of confidence, sentiment, or animal spirits one uses, the consumer is not encouraged by the record-er and record-er highs in the US equity market. The Conference Board's consumer confidence data missed for the 2nd month in a … [...]

Late-Day Let-Down Spoils NASDAQ Party As Bonds & Bullion Bid

Energized by a lower crude oil price – and collapsing JPY – equity markets hit their highs shortly after 8pmET on Sunday night, trod water thorugh the Asian and European markets and started more aggressive selling once US cash markets opened. Coinciden… [...]

Goldman Reveals Its First Two “Top Trades” Of 2014: Says To Buy S&P With 2250 Target, Short AUD

The only thing that prevents us from going all in short the S&P following the revelation that Goldman’s first revealed top trade of 2014 is to go long the S&P Dec 2014 futures with a target of 2250 and a close below 1855, is that the reco is no… [...]

Why The Fed Can’t See A Bubble In Equity Valuations

In 'An Open Letter To The FOMC' John Hussman lays out in detail the true state of the world that asset-gatherers and Fed members alike seem blinded to. The intent of his letter is not to criticize, but hopefully to increase the mindfulness of t… [...]