The "Anti-Widowmaker" Trade: Get Paid To Wait For The Japanese House Of Card To Collapse

So many traders think the key to investment riches lies in buying at the bottom or selling at the top: Such a fine but misguided notion. The cold reality is that unless one has (illegal) inside information, you will only transact at these locatio… [...]

Yen Carry Lifts Risk Around The Globe In Quiet Overnight Trade

In a carry-trade driven world in which news and fundamentals no longer matter, the only relevant “variable” is whether the JPY is down (check) and the EUR is up (check) which always results in green equities around the globe and green futures in the US… [...]

Frontrunning: November 26

M&A Mystery: Why Are Takeover Prices Plummeting? (WSJ) Hedge-Fund Fight Club Traded Illegal Tips Not Punches (BBG) Speed Traders Meet Nightmare on Elm Street With Nanex (BBG) A new wave of U.S. mortgage trouble threatens (Reuters) Penny Lane: Gitm… [...]

Frontrunning: November 25

Washington turns bond market upside (FT) China Air-Zone Move Expands Field of Islands Spat With Japan (BBG); Japan rejects China claim on airspace over disputed islands (FT) ‘Great Satan’ meets ‘Axis of Evil’ and strikes a deal (Reuters) Iran Pact Fac… [...]

Switzerland Rejects Proposal To Limit Executive Pay

Confirming that the brotherhood of the “fairness doctrine” in which everyone is equal to everyone else (but some are too big to fail or prosecute, and are thus a little more equal) will have to do more work to bring wayward Switzerland, home to some of… [...]

A (Visual) Tale of 25 Cities (And Half The World’s GDP)

With more people in the world living in cities than ever before, cities’ share of global GDP is rising: 25 cities account for approximately 50% of the world’s GDP. But not all cities can be winners, and not all are destined for greatness. The follo… [...]

DJIA 16000, S&P 1800 Looking Increasingly More Distant

After the DJIA and S&P briefly crossed the key resistance levels of 16000 and 1800, the upper bound on the markets has been looking increasingly more distant and this morning’s lack of an overnight ramp only makes it more so. Perhaps the biggest co… [...]

The Structural Decline Of US GDP In 4 Charts

Much is made of the expected hockey-stick – any quarter now – in US GDP growth (whether it's a lower fiscal drag or rise in CAPEX or any range of miracle-driven hope factors).     Credit Suisse is not so sure; not just in the short-term,… [...]

Head Of Recently Shuttered "World’s Largest FX Hedge Fund" On Hook For Firm’s Debt

It’s been a tough year for John Taylor – cursed by the CNBC Squawk Master monicker – but it appears to be getting worse. As Hedge Fund Alert reports, less than a year before his currency-trading shop filed for bankruptcy, the FX Concepts founder person… [...]

Overnight Equity Levitation Interrupted On Strong Dollar, Weak Treasurys

Following a brief hiatus for the Veterans Day holiday, the spotlight will again shine on treasuries and emerging markets today. The theme of higher US yields and USD strength continue to play out in Asian trading. 10yr UST yields are drifting upwards, … [...]